Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 2.439819 2.667917 2.912605 3.195402 3.514215 3.863637 4.277108
2025-11-02 2.109021 2.418984 2.772605 3.208872 3.736727 4.359999 5.159470
2025-11-09 1.849078 2.191317 2.598774 3.125299 3.795995 4.633297 5.776228
2025-11-16 1.677055 2.039376 2.485635 3.084367 3.880156 4.921432 6.421348
2025-11-23 1.552772 1.929814 2.407810 3.070257 3.984193 5.231369 7.118353
2025-11-30 1.487134 1.886494 2.406821 3.150736 4.215058 5.729197 8.136892
2025-12-07 1.396174 1.800800 2.339891 3.130713 4.297116 6.016300 8.870524
2025-12-14 1.312016 1.717136 2.267625 3.093901 4.346522 6.253557 9.549287
2025-12-21 1.213518 1.606723 2.149475 2.979294 4.265641 6.276822 9.870843
2025-12-28 1.163482 1.560686 2.118773 2.990154 4.376023 6.610957 10.765981
2026-01-04 1.125338 1.528784 2.105555 3.024950 4.525009 7.020822 11.852857
2026-01-11 1.091970 1.501435 2.096574 3.064340 4.683010 7.460208 13.059660
2026-01-18 1.058544 1.472970 2.085326 3.101215 4.843705 7.929188 14.419532
2026-01-25 1.022744 1.438899 2.063245 3.118525 4.971982 8.354120 15.766752
2026-02-01 0.967393 1.372100 1.986145 3.038515 4.920016 8.432474 16.377900
2026-02-08 0.925547 1.323909 1.935499 2.999105 4.936930 8.643987 17.322465
2026-02-15 0.892382 1.287525 1.901526 2.985501 4.999430 8.951782 18.547804
2026-02-22 0.880257 1.283498 1.919417 3.063147 5.240524 9.653574 20.880620
2026-03-01 0.849747 1.248595 1.884442 3.043831 5.291422 9.958572 22.264216
2026-03-08 0.818166 1.210536 1.842190 3.008317 5.306644 10.186764 23.490175
2026-03-15 0.774712 1.151425 1.761753 2.897721 5.161161 10.038957 23.637401
2026-03-22 0.755586 1.131457 1.746928 2.908203 5.264962 10.473273 25.563330
2026-03-29 0.741511 1.119181 1.744577 2.941784 5.419669 11.046567 28.053846